Service Plays Friday 02/27/09

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

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[SteveMcQueen]

Raging Bull

Soccer:

AC Ajaccio/Clermont Foot over 2 (France Ligue 2)

Metz/Stade de Reims over 2 (France Ligue 2)

Mainz/Nurnberg over 2.5 (German 2 Bundesliga)

Hansa Rostock/Ahlen over 3 (German 2 Bundesliga)

PSV Eindhoven/Heerenveen over 3 (Dutch Eredivisie)

SC Stormvogels Telstar/AGOVV Apeldoorn over 3 (Dutch Eerste Divisie)

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

DESTROYTHEBOOK SPORTS
FREE HORSE SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY

Gulfstream
Race 3
#4- Beer Boy
-------------
Aqueduct
Race 7
#2- Magical Devotion

Race 8
#5- Distorted Passion
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[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Mighty Quinn

Mighty split with Wright State (-7) and Murray State (-7-1/2) Thursday night.

Friday it's Cornell. The surplus is 195 sirignanos.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Dave Cokin

(893) MANHATTAN
(894) FAIRFIELD
Take "(893) MANHATTAN"

You'll be hard pressed to find any team that's had a rougher time of it than Fairfield. The Stags have been obliterated by injuries and other issues, and they just don't have the bodies to get it done right now. There's certainly been no lack of effort from the remaining players, but those empty chairs on the bench tell the story. Manhattan is coming on nicely to finish up the regular season, while the Stags appear to be on fumes at this point. I'll go with the Jaspers plus the points for the Friday free opinion.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Jim Feist

(875) CHARLOTTE BOBCATS
(876) GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS
Take "(876) GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS"

Charlotte is a long way from home, playing their 4th straight game out West. This team lacks offense and can't keep pace with uptempo attacks, as in a 10-point loss at Phoenix. Charlotte is on a 1-3 SU/ATS run. They take on a Golden State team that is going with the kids. "I'm going to give Jamal Crawford a day off against Charlotte so I can play some of the younger guys," coach Don Nelson said. The immediate beneficiaries figure to be second-year guards Marco Belinelli and C.J. Watson. Young kids are hungry to play hard, as they are fighting for a job and more minutes. The Warriors are on a 4-2 SU/ATS run and have far more offensive punch than the road weary visitors. Play the Warriors.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Scott Spreitzer Bonus Play
Game: Manhattan College at Fairfield Feb 27 2009 7:30PM
Prediction: Manhattan College
Reason: I'm taking the points with Manhattan on Friday night. This one truly comes down to numbers, and I'm not referring to the line in particular. While it's nice to be getting points in this situation, the "numbers" I'm talking about have to deal with the amount of bodies Fairfield can put on the floor. The Stags have lost four straight games and injuries have truly taken their toll. Fairfield played just six players in their most recent game, a loss to Hofstra. Forward Greg Nero is the most recent casualty. He is suffering from back problems and missed the Hofstra game. Nero, averaging 12.9 ppg and 6.6 rpg, is listed as questionable tonight. I would not be surprised to see him sit out of this one, also. The Stags have a first-round bye in the MAAC tourney wrapped-up and there's talk that they'll give him tonight off, so he's 100% by the time they play their first conference tourney tilt. The Jaspers are much healthier, have won five of their last six games, and they're getting points. I believe, in this situation, the underdog is the better team. I'll grab the number with Manhattan on Friday night. Thanks! GL! Scott.
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[woodsie08]

Halfbets.com

SSG was 4-0 last night in NBA and they also give out FREE against the grain plays every day.

Today they will have plays posted and are 63% in FREE picks.

 

[WOLVTANG]

Charlies Sports

12-2-1 over 87% last 15 day's as thurs 500* cbb wins on wisc green bay!!

Nba. Philadelphia-3 @ Knicks. Facing the New York Knicks seems to bring out the best in the Philadelphia 76ers.Philadelphia tries to sweep the season series with New York for the first time in 23 years tonight when it concludes a four-game road trip, 76ers cover+3.
:cripwalk:

 

[WOLVTANG]

MadduxSports

3-0 Yesterday

Today's Free Pick is Minnesota Timberwolves +6

 

[rocky2]

Brandon Lang:
15 Dime Lakers, 5 Dime St Peter's

 

[ymmit2nd]

Vernon Croy's **Friday Night NCAAB IVY LEAGUE SMASH** (Guaranteed Pick)
Brown vs. Princeton (Feb 27 7:00 PM)
Brown (6.0) (-110.0)
20 Units, Take Brown ATS, Princeton is only averaging 58.6 ppg this season with their leading scorer Doug Davis averaging 12.2 ppg while Brown is averaging 61.7 ppg with their leading scorer Matt Mullery averaging 16 ppg. The Bears are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games after a double digit home loss and the Bears just dominated Princeton at home winning by 18 points back on February.14. Brown is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games as a road dog of +0.5 to +6.5 points and Princeton has failed to cover in 5 straight conference games. Princeton is just 6-18 ATS in their last 24 games off a loss against a conference rival and they are just 6-13 ATS in their last 19 games revenging a road loss against an opponent. Grab the points with Brown as my Ivy League Smash for Friday night.

 

[ymmit2nd]

SPORTS ADVISORS

Miami (30-26, 26-28-2 ATS) at Atlanta (32-25, 29-28 ATS)

The Hawks return home after losing the final three games of their six-game road trip, as they host the inconsistent Heat.

Atlanta has been on the road for the majority of the month, with tonight just its third home game in February. The Hawks have lost three straight (1-2 ATS) and four of their last five (1-4 ATS), including a tough 110-109 setback at Denver on Wednesday, but they cashed as 9½-point ‘dogs.

Miami comes into this one having alternated SU wins and losses in their eight games (3-5 ATS). The Heat come into this one off Tuesday’s 103-91 home win over the Pistons, cashing as four-point favorites. However, the last time they hit the road they dropped a 122-99 decision to the Magic on Sunday, coming nowhere near cashing as nine-point pups.

These teams have split the first two meetings this season, with Atlanta getting an 87-73 victory in Miami on Dec. 12 as a two-point underdog and then the Heat scoring a 95-79 home win on Jan. 26 as a three-point chalk. Miami is 7-3 ATS in the last 10 series clashes and 20-7 ATS in the last 27, including 6-1 ATS in their last seven visits to Atlanta.

The Heat are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games on Friday, but they are just 16-35-3 ATS in their last 54 after a straight-up win and 1-4 ATS in their last five after a spread-cover. Atlanta is on ATS slides of 3-8 against teams with a winning record and 5-11 at home against teams with a losing road mark, but it is 4-1 in its last five against Eastern Conference teams and 5-2 when returning home after a road trip of seven or more days.

Miami has stayed under the total in six of its last eight games after getting two days off and eight of its last 11 Friday outings, but it is one “over” streaks of 8-3-1 overall, 9-3 on the road and 4-1 after a straight-up win. The Hawks have gone over the total in eight of their last 11 at home, four of five after a spread-cover, five of six Friday games and four straight against the Eastern Conference. Lastly, the under is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings in this rivalry.

ATS ADVANTAGE: MIAMI


L.A. Lakers (48-10, 31-27 ATS) at Denver (38-20, 31-26-1 ATS)

The Lakers head to the Pepsi Center in Denver seeking their 10th straight victory over the Nuggets in this lopsided Western Conference rivalry.

Los Angeles comes in with a six-game overall winning streak (4-2 ATS) after crushing the Suns on Thursday night 132-106 as an 11-point home favorite. The Lakers have scored 107 points or more in each of their last five games and they’ve won three straight on the road, most recently taking down Oklahoma City 107-93 on Tuesday as 7½-point favorites.

Denver has lost three off its last four (0-4 ATS) but barely edged the Hawks 110-109 on Wednesday, coming up well short as a 9½-point home chalk. The Nuggets have given up 109.6 points per game in their last five outings, and they haven’t been able to hold the Lakers to less than 102 in any of their last 10 meetings.

Los Angeles has already beaten the Nuggets twice this season and the Lakers haven’t lost to Denver in nine contests since 2007 (8-1 ATS). The lone game the Nuggets covered was back in November when they fell 104-97 as 8½-point home underdogs. The Lakers are 20-8 ATS in the last 28 meetings with Denver and 4-1 ATS in their last five visits to the Pepsi Center.

The Lakers are just 2-7 ATS in their last nine Friday contests, but otherwise they are on a host of positive pointspread streaks, including 10-4 overall, 20-8 on the second night of back-to-backs, 8-3 as a favorite, 6-1 as a road favorite and 7-1 on the road against teams with a winning home record. Denver is on ATS runs of 15-7 after getting a day off and 4-1 against Pacific Division teams, but the Nuggets are on ATS slides of 0-4 overall 2-6 as an underdog and 1-5 as a home ‘dog.

Los Angeles is on “over” streaks of 9-4-1 overall, 10-2-1 on the highway, 8-3-1 against the Western Conference, 7-1-1 as a road favorite and 6-0 on the second night of a back-to-back. Denver has stayed below the total in 20 of 28 as a home ‘dog, five of seven as a ‘dog anywhere, four of five against the Pacific Division and five straight against teams with a winning record. In this rivalry, the under is 5-0 in the last five clashes overall and 4-0 in the last four in the Mile High City.

ATS ADVANTAGE: LAKERS and UNDER


Cleveland (44-12, 37-19 ATS) at San Antonio (39-17, 29-25-2 ATS)

The Cavaliers try to rebound from a blowout loss in the opening game of their four-game road trip at Houston when they invade the AT&T Center in San Antonio for their first meeting of the season against the Spurs..

Cleveland went to Houston on Thursday night and got smoked by the Rockets 93-74 as a 3½-point favorite. The loss snapped a five-game SU and ATS winning streak, and the 74 points was 27 points below what the Cavs had averaged during their five-game run.

San Antonio has rattled off five straight wins, including the last two blowout victories at home without Manu Ginobili or Tim Duncan (both injured) in the lineup. The Spurs destroyed Dallas 93-76 on Tuesday as a five-point favorite and then did the same to the Blazers on Wednesday, winning 99-84 as a five-point chalk.

The visitor has taken the last four Cavs-Spurs meetings (3-1 ATS), including Cleveland’s 90-88 victory as a 7 ½-point road underdog in last year’s trip to the AT&T Center. San Antonio is 5-1 SU (4-2 ATS) against the Cavs dating back to the 2007 NBA Finals when the Spurs swept Cleveland 4-0 (3-1 ATS).

Despite losing Thursday, the Cavaliers remain on a plethora of ATS runs that include 42-19 overall, 15-6 against Western Conference teams, 9-1 on Fridays, 8-2 on the second night of a back-to-back and 5-1 against Southwest Division squads. San Antonio is just 1-4 ATS at home against teams with a winning road mark, but the Spurs are on pointspread surges of 4-1 at home, 6-0-1 after getting a day off and 8-0 against teams with a winning straight-up record.

For Cleveland, the over is 4-0 in their last four on the second night of a back-to-back, but otherwise the under is on runs of 6-2 overall, 12-5 on Fridays and 7-2 against teams with a winning record. San Antonio has topped the total in nine of 14 overall, eight of 11 at home and five of seven when getting a day off, but the Spurs are also on “under” streaks of 7-3 against the Eastern Conference, 11-5 on Friday and 8-1 against the Central Division. In this rivalry, the under is 6-2 in the last eight meetings overall and 4-1 in the last five in San Antonio.

ATS ADVANTAGE: UNDER

 

[psandman311]

billy coleman
5* lakers
4* bobcats
columbia over
3* 76's
yale

accu picks]
5*gom suns
4* magic
3* bucks
loy chi

 

[ymmit2nd]

2/27/2009
7:35:00 PM Philadelphia 76ers (+2.5)
over NEW YORK KNICKS
Scott Rickenbach’s NBA 2* (Top Play) Philadelphia 76'ers (+) @ New York @ 7:35 PM ET – As long-time followers know we are quite fond of fading history when those historical facts just don’t make sense in comparison with the current situational factors. That is precisely the case here. Part of the reason we’re able to get the Sixers plus the points here is because there is going to be some “buy in” into the fact that Philadelphia hasn’t swept the season series with New York in 23 years! The Sixers have won the first three games of this season’s series and tonight’s game in the Big Apple will wrap up the season series. Many people buy into this figuring that if it hasn’t happened in 23 years it’s not likely to happen tonight. However, it is quite likely to happen! The Knicks defense continues to be a sieve and the 76’ers have averaged 113 points per game against New York this season. Also, Philadelphia has a ton of confidence when facing New York. This is not only because of this season’s success as the Sixers have actually taken 12 of their last 14 meetings with the Knicks. New York has allowed 12 of their last 13 opponents to score 104 points or more and that spells trouble against a Sixers team that knows how to defend and is giving up an average of 12 points less per game than the Knicks are this season! After a tough four-game losing streak, including some tight beats, the Sixers offense was able to get rolling against the Wizards on Wednesday and they should enjoy more of the same tonight at New York! Andre Igoudala had a big game at Washington and the Knicks don’t have the personnel to stop the Sixers from attacking the rim and dominating the paint. While the Sixers don’t exactly have a Dwight Howard (who else does?!?!) it is noteworthy that Orlando’s big man toyed with the Knicks in the big Magic win at New York on Wednesday. Don’t be fooled by the final score either as, overall, the game was not nearly as close as the final margin might lead you to believe. The Sixers have a very strong frontcourt and this will play a key role in tonight’s game as the Knicks continue to struggle in the paint. However, don’t forget about the backcourt either! That’s because the Sixers Andre Miller has had tremendous success against New York this season and the Knicks will struggle (again!) with the patience and cohesiveness of this Sixers team. New York just doesn’t have the defense to match-up with the Sixers intensity here. The problem for the Knicks is that Philadelphia also comes in with a lot of motivation for tonight’s game. The Sixers are still burned up about the loss to the Nets in New Jersey on Monday because it came on a half-court buzzer beater. Looking to strengthen their playoff positioning, the 76’ers will once again take advantage of a foe against whom they have some key match-up edges. Play Philadelphia plus the points as a Top Play selection.

 

[number1fan]

John Ryan - NHL

Money Line: 240 Tampa Bay Lightning

Ai Simulator 5* graded play on Tampa Bay as they travel to face Vancouver slated to start at 10:05 EST. This line was just posted near the lunch hour here in the east and I am unable to provide the supporting cast of angles and systems for this play. I want to get the play our given that both plays are significant dogs and that you should certainy consider an optional parlay wager too. Remember that when I release these NHL DOG plays, the supporting cast of systems and angles only serve to reinforce the play. The reason we are making the play is dominated by the AiS grading.

 

[number1fan]

John Ryan - NHL

Money Line: 255 Los Angeles Kings

Ai Simulator 5* graded play on the LA Kings as they travel to face Detroit slated to start at 7:35 EST. Supporting this graded play is a strong system that has posted a 23-18 mark making 15 units since 2003. Play against home teams against the money line with a poor starting goalie saving <= 89.5% of shots against him and is a hot offensive team posting 5 straight games with 30 or more shots on goal. LA is 7-2 against the money line (+8.1 Units) in road games against excellent power play teams- scoring on >17.5% of their chances in the 2nd half of the year this season. Take the Kings.

 

[ymmit2nd]

Handicapper: IndianCowboy
Sport: College Basketball
Game: Cornell Big Red @ Dartmouth Big Green - Friday February 27, 2009 7:00 pm
Pick: 4 unit(s) TOTAL: Over 134 (-110) (Play of the Day)



4 Unit Play. Take Over 134 between Cornell @ Dartmouth (Friday @ 7pm est). Congrats to us for cashing Rider - barely, but cashing Rider nevertheless on the road at Loyola MD. That brings us to 3-1 on the week with a 5* bank as we look to go 4-1 on the week in college ball with a rare total. Note, I am releasing this total at 3:15am in the morning, so please get the best line possible as I'm certain that it will likely go up. The last time these two teams met, the game went into Double OT as Cornell ended up winning 79-76 in exciting fashion. What was striking in that game was the fact that Dartmouth came into that game as a 20 point underdog only to nearly win outright. I love the over here as Dartmouth is once again nearly a double-digit dog. In fact, the line opened up offshore at -11 for Cornell and then got bought down to -9.5 indicating money coming in on Dartmouth. But, then again, that is a bit expected as Dartmouth does have revenge, this is a home game for them and Cornell comes off a monster win against Brown which was a bounce-back from their SU loss to Yale. Yes, the last time these two teams met, in regulation the score was 61-61 before it went into OT. But, I think these two teams kind of gauged each other out from that contest and will get into the swing of things when it comes to scoring early here. Consider that plus the fact that I would love to normally take Dartmouth here but I would not be surprised if Cornell, the league stalwart decides to make a statement and tries to really ante up the score on Dartmouth. In that same token, I think Dartmouth can be an outright dog and potentially win outright. It's one of those odd games that can go both ways as the line that took a hit from +11 to +9.5 could simply be because that 50% of the public is on either side of the game. So, it's not one of those things like the Rockets line taking a hit at the last second despite 75% on the Cavs. In short, I can see Dartmouth being competitive and sending this game over. I can also see Cornell making a statement and sending this game over. I don't think it's all that impossible to think that either of these teams can put up 70. Both of these teams are more familiar with each other and will get into their offensive set quicker. Plus, Dartmouth did not shoot well from 3 point land in their last game going 4 for 14 and I expect much better shooting from there and shot a poor 16 for 26 from the charity stripe. Cornell is a big and physical team that is a top 100 team in the nation and shoots around 75% from the line and nearly 40% from behind the arc. I will take the over here as I expect a total that might finish up in the mid 140's when all is said and done. Dartmouth is traditionally an under team, but a team that can put up 66 at Princeton and 69 at Penn, I think can equal that effort or put up even 70 at home against a Cornell team that will want to score early and often.

 

[oldtim]

Jeff Alexander Free Nba Pick Feb 27 2009

catagory: Jeff Alexander Author: Free Nba Picks on: February 27th, 2009<!-- AddThis Button BEGIN --> <script type="text/javascript">var addthis_pub="temon";</script> http://www.addthis.com/bookmark.php?v=20<script type="text/javascript" src="http://s7.addthis.com/js/200/addthis_widget.js"></script> <!-- AddThis Button END -->
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1 Unit Bonus Play on Bucks/Hornets UNDER 200.5


The Hornets just don’t play high scoring games at home. In fact, the most points scored in a New Orleans home game all season has been just 206. Some of it has to do with an improved defense and some of it has to do with chemistry problems on offense this season. The Under is 4-1 in Bucks last 5 games as a road underdog and 7-3 in Bucks last 10 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. The Under is 11-4 in Hornets last 15 Friday games, 9-2 in Hornets last 12 home games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5, and 13-6-1 in Hornets last 20 vs. Eastern Conference. The books have set the bar too high. This one goes under.

 

[ymmit2nd]

Kevin Rogers

Chicago at Washington
Pick: Over 207

Analysis: The Wizards, despite their occasional cold spells on offense, have hit the OVER on a consistent basis recently, as Washington plays host to Chicago. The Wizards have eclipsed the OVER in eight straight games following a loss, coming off Wednesday's home setback against the Sixers. Washington's defense has been less than impressive, allowing at least 100 points in eight of ten games this month, while seven of the last eight at home have sailed OVER the total. The Bulls are coming off a road loss at New Jersey on Wednesday, giving up 37 points in the final quarter. Chicago has seen the OVER hit in 14 of the last 19 with the total listed between 200 and 210. The Bulls have been involved in a lot of high-scoring contests recently; in an eleven-game span dating back to January 31st, Chicago has scored at least 107 points seven times, while allowing 100+ points seven times. The Wizards have done a majority of their "OVER" damage against below .500 teams, doing so on 16 of 22 occasions this season. The Bulls don't play much defense, allowing 102.8 ppg and 45% shooting from the floor. I'll take the Bulls and Wizards to finish OVER the total.